Friday, February 1, 2013

Risk - Reward: The Math is Simple


I prayed for Caleb Moore. In fact I just bowed my head and asked God to take care of him and his family. He was a tough young man and I prayed that he would recover -- I now pray for his soul and the hearts of his loved ones left behind. This accident prompts a question, "how dangerous is too dangerous?"  One must assume that Caleb knew of the dangers.  He competed once with a broken pelvis and tailbone only one day after the crash that caused the injuries; he is a tough young man.  He had to be in amazing pain and yet competed and place in the top three.  Part of what these daredevils thrive on is cheating death.  They live to overcome odds and flirt with physics.

The NFL is in the midst of the "safety" talk.  I find it very hard to believe that today's NFL player does not know acutely know of the inherent dangers of his sport.  In times past the ignorance had some innocence; there may have even been decpetion. But today I tire of the frequent laments about how dangerous playing professional football is.  Ya think? Most have been playing since pee wee. It is hard on your health to repeatedly slam into other massive men.  If that is not obvious to them when they sign up then they are truly ignoramuses.  Professional football players are richly rewarded for being willing to expose themselves to the risk.  That is in part what they are paid for.  They know that an NFL career will not last the 30 years they might have as a computer programmer -- so they make more money in a shorter time span.  If they are smart they can live forever on a five year career. They can easily earn more in a single year or maybe two of play than I can earn in a lifetime.  I was born a woman; I didn't even have the opportunity.  I am educated and have outstanding, valuable experience. Society does not value me in the same way.  We don't pay for me to risk danger.

Risk is rewarded. Our troops get rewarded with "hazardous duty pay" when they are willing to expose themselves and risk their lives for the freedom of people they have never met.  Their rewards pale in comparison to that of an NFL linebacker but their pay is still connected to exposure to risk.  It is why a crab fisherman in the Bering Sea can make enough to buy a house in two seasons of fishing -- if they bring in a healthy payload.  Risk - reward. We get rewarded for two primary things.  First for being successful -- sometimes this is luck and sometimes it is brilliance sometimes a combination.  The second is being willing to expose oneself to danger.  It is an ancient equation.

Three people are killed by bulls each year in rodeo and an average of 20 people are killed in performance equestrian or rodeo events.  Tell me the last name you remember the name of a person who was killed in rodeo?  Lane Frost maybe? That was July 30th in 1989.  If we are to apply the averages for "death by bull" that was 23 years ago and that means that 70 men have been killed by bulls since then.  Do you know a single name on that list? I didn't think so. That is more deaths during "work" than the entire history of the NFL.  Also the suicide rate in the NFL is lower than the general US population and their average lifespan is longer -- I did the research. The media would lead you to believe otherwise. But bull riders are different.  They KNOW what they do is dangerous. They accept it. They embrace it.  I once heard a joke that goes like this.  If you want to know when you are a bull rider then fill your mouth full of marbles.  Each time you ride a bull spit one out.  When you have lost all your marbles, THEN you are a bull rider!

Based on this this is a pattern of "we need saftey measures" vs. "do it anyway", the more eyeballs on the sport of course the more attention it gets -- both good and bad.  But aren't the eyeballs there in part because of the danger?  If we bubble wrapped our NFL players and the X-Games made the landing area a big air cushion like stunt men use -- would we watch?  Would they even want to play?

A single mediocre NFL player makes more than 100's of professional rodeo cowboys combined.  These men hitch rides, owning nothing but a saddle or a bucking rig, sleep six or eight to a motel room and scrap enough money for food and a cold beer before hitting the road again for the next 8 seconds in another dusty town. What a life, eh?  They are chasing a high and that high is directly connected to the danger.  Few of them achieve riches and most end up with a permanent injury of some sort and a life of chronic pain.  Many would do it all over again if they could turn back the clock.

If you watched the Olympics last year and then compared ANY of the gymnast's routines to those of even 20 years ago, the stunts and the limits they pushed made the old routines look mundane, boring, dare I say easy?

So in conclusion, precautions and balancing risk versus reward is certainly important. When anyone examines a challenge they must calculate what safety precautions they must take in order to live to tell about it. They also want to push the edge of the "possible" and do the impossible and often don't want to be limited by safety measures.  Human beings have always desired to push limits, explore uncharted waters and go where no man has gone before. If we did not we would never have landed on the moon, Lewis and Clark would have never reached the Pacific and our land would never have been settled by wandering souls from across an ocean following the stars.

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A Girl and Her Dog

A Girl and Her Dog